Two Year Old Pool – The Shallow End?

See: https://www.breednet.com.au/news/15783/two-year-old-pool-%E2%80%93-the-shallow-end?

See also: https://sconevetdynasty.com.au/sire-premiership-tables-2014-2015-to-2019-2020-as-at-13-04-2020/

Gratefully acknowledge: Tara Madgwick – Wednesday November 10

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Capitalist won the Breeders Plate, Magic Millions 2YO Classic and Golden Slipper – great example of a natural 2YO talent and now a leading sire.

Just when I thought I knew a bit I’m dragged right back to the very beginning! Since the introduction of the Golden Slipper Stakes for 2yos by George Ryder and the STC in 1957 most of us thought this heralded the rush to the yearling sales and the early dollar return for investors by the purchase of ostensibly precocious youngsters. It appeared so on the surface. However cogent statistical analysis of the early racetrack performance of presumed ‘commercial’ yearlings by Tara Madgwick suggests otherwise? Very few of these elite selected youngsters make it to the races in the first half of the racing season each year (10%). It’s not really a very good bet when you think about it; or is it? It was the late Dick Francis who stated: “Breeders are dreamers of dreams”! Does the same wise aphorism also apply to the racing cartels? It’s almost as if the former (breeder cartel ) subscribes en masse to the Wildean maxim that: “Nothing succeeds like excess”?

First Season Sire Statistics as at 31/12/2021

See: https://www.breednet.com.au/sire-tables/

Sire	Position	Yearlings Sold 2021	Starters	Winners
The Mission	1st	17	10	3
Heroic Valour	2nd	40	8	3
Russian Revolution	3rd	98	9	3
Hellbent	7th	86	10	0
Impending	9th	66	11	0
Totals		307	48	9

 

Without calculating bald statistics, the ‘broad expectation’ of a runner by a first season sire in the early part of the racing season is about one 6^th while selecting a winner is about 3%?

Two Year Old Sire Statistics as at 31/12/2021

See: https://www.breednet.com.au/sire-tables/

Sire	Position	Yearlings Sold 2021	Starters	Winners
Written Tycoon	9th	78	5	1
Snitzel	12th	90	2	2
I Am Invincible	13th	102	1	1
Capitalist	16th	116	1	2
Totals		386	9	6

 

These are some of the best performing sires in recent times and generally command the highest prices at the yearling sales. Of course, this situation could/will change dramatically by the end of the current season at the end of July 2022. However, it highlights the poor expectations in the short term for quick returns on initial investment. I’m not sure if conventional wisdom supports this premise; or not?

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Dr Peter Rossdale OBE, MA, PhD, Drmedvet(hcBerne), DVMS(hc Edinburgh), DVSc(hc Sydney), FACVSc, DESM, FRCVS

Dr Peter Rossdale visited Scone with spouse Jill when on one of his man Australian visits at the behest of the University of Sydney Post Graduate Foundation in Veterinary Science and the Australian Equine Veterinary Association. He very kindly told me Scone was the only place on the globe other than Newmarket UK that he would like to have been in Equine Veterinary Practice? Maybe he was being polite?  Jill Rossdale bred an outstanding international racehorse by the winner of the 1977 Blue Diamond Stakes  ‘Blazing Saddles’ (Todman/Lady Simone by Wilkes; bred by Jim Fleming @ Stone Lodge, Segenhoe). I think ‘Blazing Saddles was one of the first Australian-bred stallions to ‘shuttle’ to the UK? Jill’s horse might have been ‘Mr Brooks (GB)’ [Blazing Saddles ex Double Finesse GB by Double Jump GB] who raced in both Europe and the USA where he met his fate on the racetrack; possibly in Florida? Peter and Jill also had a son who spent time @ Bob Watson’s ‘Roseneath Stud’, Cobbitty on a ‘gap year’ at the behest of ex-AEVA Treasurer and Keeneland USA representative Professor Rex Butterfield.

Dr Peter Rossdale has passed away

Dear EVA Past Presidents,

You will be sad to learn that Dr Peter Rossdale OBE, MA, PhD, Drmedvet(hcBerne), DVMS(hc Edinburgh), DVSc(hc Sydney), FACVSc, DESM, FRCVS, has passed away. Dr Rossdale was in his 90s. From the Team Page at Rossdales

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